Doubting Thomas- Just a Thought
Mumbai attack on 26th November 2008 is not just a terror attack but a very strategic attack keeping intentional politics in mind. This attack is an attempt to portray that like Pakistan , India is also troubled with fundamentalist and radical groups. But why this?
Indo-US nuclear Deal has increased frustration among enemies of India. At one side India's is gaining acceptance in International community where as Pakistan image regarding safety of nuke weapons is deteriorating day-by-day.
Those who track news may have heard number of times that US is planning to control and seize nuclear weapons in Pakistan so that it does not land in the hand of terrorists. India so far has clean and responsible image in international community but from frequent terror attacks, enemies of country want to project that no nuclear program can be safe in the country.
The term DECCAN MUJAHIDEEN, ISLAMIC SECURITY FORCES-INDIAN MUJAHIDEEN(ISF-IM)and INDIAN MUJAHIDEEN has been strategically coined to attach image of India with terrorists. Terrorist are very well following branding and propaganda strategy to create image of India as a land that is giving birth to new terror groups. Repeated terror attacks are also projecting image of India as a country that can face Afghanistan kind of situation where ruling government was thrown out by Taliban. Targeting foreigners is part of this strategy. Beside this alleged Hindu Terror group Abhinav Bharat has added spice to Pakistan's platter.
Therefore, involvement of Pakistan along with China cannot be ruled out. I include China and Pakistan because, if US is not giving weapons to Pakistan to pass it on to terrorists, as it did at the time of 1993 Mumbai bomb blast, then from where are these terrorists getting weapons? If Pakistan is really worried, as it seems from the concerns showed by Asif Ali Zardari and Yousuf Raza Gillani, it should allow India to attack terror camps established in Pakistan and hand over Dawood Ibrahim, Laskar-e-Toiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed and other wanted terrorist to India.
This terrorists attack is one from the series that is about to continue.
Friday, November 28, 2008
Friday, December 28, 2007
Benazir Killed for PPP's victory
Doubting Thomas: Just a thought
Benazir had been assasinated and Al-Qaeda has taken responsibility for killing her, everyone will be expecting strong support from people of Pakistan and a fierce action from the against Al-Qaeda.
Forget it. Nothing of this sort will happen. Some action will be there but not against Al-Qaeda but against tribals supporting Al-Qaeda.
These tribals are innocent from heart and do not understand shrewd international politics. They get carried away in the name of religion. These tribals are factory of Jehadi's. Innocent muslim youths are influeced in the name of religion and Jehad. When they go out to kill they use arms and ammunition. These arms and ammunition are bought from public money. Public money used to buy arms is a profitable proposition for arm makers. Most of these arms makers are from US. It is in the air that many US politicians and senior defence officers have stake in the arms factory. This means more the arms are used, the more will be the business and more will be their profit. Therefore ,most of the war politics is designed by US.
Al-Qaeda has emerged as good friend of weapon mercenaries. It has given them maximum busines.
( Have you ever given a thought who provides arms to Al-Qaeda after they snapped their ties with US?)
Iraq war may be part of this poilitics. Israel and Palestine are already giving good business to weapon mercenaries. One more such zone is being created in the central Asia and in some part of South Asia.
Lets talk Pakistan..
Bhutto's assasination can be part of this politics. Since Bhutto had been assasinated, her husband Asif Zardari will be next PPP leader. He has fair chances of winning election because of sympathy votes. It was looking difficult to convince masses to vote for Benazir.
So what? Victory of Benazir was must for US.
Musharraf had been trying to keep Nawaz Sharif away from election as he is being perceived as anti-US. In case Benazir would have not died, there were fare chances of Nawaz Sharif getting the throne of PM. Musharraf cowered in front of US pressure this is what people of Pakistan believe. They forget the ground reality that US has helped Pakistan to develop its economy. Though it was also part of US politics. Musharraf is sore in the eyes of Pakistani masses because he had swerved from the way Pakistan was being developed as orthodox Islamic state-A land for the Islam, by the Islam,from the Islam and full of Jehadi's.
Pakistani Masses, especially radicalist, believe that Musharraf is trying to wipe out the radical groups. They believe that democracy they are looking for will be just to show the world. The leader leading such democracy will be puppet PM working on terms and condition laid down by Musharraf. Musharraf and Benazir's deal was seen from the same angle by masses and radicalist. Though authenticity of deal is not known but it is said that it happened. Radical groups believe that US brokered this deal between Benazir and Musharraf. The radicalist saw some hope in Nawaz Sharif. Sharif's has confidence of winning becuase of anti-US and Musharraf sentiments among radicalist.
Even US policy makers sensed this - Victory for Nawaz Sharif.
So what next? How to stop him?(Just a thought)
KILL BENAZIR. This would generate sympathy vote for Asif Zardari.
This is also evident in speech of Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan. They know that masses will incline towards PPP and they will loose. Elections will take place in Pakistan. The dates may defer for couple of months but it will take place. But sooner it would be , better it will be for US and Musharraf.
Who so ever wins , there will be war again in the North West Frontier Region as it is the part which had not been under control of government of Pakistan and thus not in control of US. This war be in the name of 'Revenge for Benazir'.
Benazir had been assasinated and Al-Qaeda has taken responsibility for killing her, everyone will be expecting strong support from people of Pakistan and a fierce action from the against Al-Qaeda.
Forget it. Nothing of this sort will happen. Some action will be there but not against Al-Qaeda but against tribals supporting Al-Qaeda.
These tribals are innocent from heart and do not understand shrewd international politics. They get carried away in the name of religion. These tribals are factory of Jehadi's. Innocent muslim youths are influeced in the name of religion and Jehad. When they go out to kill they use arms and ammunition. These arms and ammunition are bought from public money. Public money used to buy arms is a profitable proposition for arm makers. Most of these arms makers are from US. It is in the air that many US politicians and senior defence officers have stake in the arms factory. This means more the arms are used, the more will be the business and more will be their profit. Therefore ,most of the war politics is designed by US.
Al-Qaeda has emerged as good friend of weapon mercenaries. It has given them maximum busines.
( Have you ever given a thought who provides arms to Al-Qaeda after they snapped their ties with US?)
Iraq war may be part of this poilitics. Israel and Palestine are already giving good business to weapon mercenaries. One more such zone is being created in the central Asia and in some part of South Asia.
Lets talk Pakistan..
Bhutto's assasination can be part of this politics. Since Bhutto had been assasinated, her husband Asif Zardari will be next PPP leader. He has fair chances of winning election because of sympathy votes. It was looking difficult to convince masses to vote for Benazir.
So what? Victory of Benazir was must for US.
Musharraf had been trying to keep Nawaz Sharif away from election as he is being perceived as anti-US. In case Benazir would have not died, there were fare chances of Nawaz Sharif getting the throne of PM. Musharraf cowered in front of US pressure this is what people of Pakistan believe. They forget the ground reality that US has helped Pakistan to develop its economy. Though it was also part of US politics. Musharraf is sore in the eyes of Pakistani masses because he had swerved from the way Pakistan was being developed as orthodox Islamic state-A land for the Islam, by the Islam,from the Islam and full of Jehadi's.
Pakistani Masses, especially radicalist, believe that Musharraf is trying to wipe out the radical groups. They believe that democracy they are looking for will be just to show the world. The leader leading such democracy will be puppet PM working on terms and condition laid down by Musharraf. Musharraf and Benazir's deal was seen from the same angle by masses and radicalist. Though authenticity of deal is not known but it is said that it happened. Radical groups believe that US brokered this deal between Benazir and Musharraf. The radicalist saw some hope in Nawaz Sharif. Sharif's has confidence of winning becuase of anti-US and Musharraf sentiments among radicalist.
Even US policy makers sensed this - Victory for Nawaz Sharif.
So what next? How to stop him?(Just a thought)
KILL BENAZIR. This would generate sympathy vote for Asif Zardari.
This is also evident in speech of Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan. They know that masses will incline towards PPP and they will loose. Elections will take place in Pakistan. The dates may defer for couple of months but it will take place. But sooner it would be , better it will be for US and Musharraf.
Who so ever wins , there will be war again in the North West Frontier Region as it is the part which had not been under control of government of Pakistan and thus not in control of US. This war be in the name of 'Revenge for Benazir'.
Tuesday, May 09, 2006
India Gambling
India had been ranked 93 by US Foreign Policy magazine and the US-based Fund for Peace think-tank in the list of failed state. Though India has climbed up from its previous rank of 75 but recent development in Indian political scenario and security situation can bring it among list of failed state.
The recent terrorist attack show vulnerability of Indian security and the ongoing domestic problems like reservation for OBC, internal security threats from naxalites.
Despite resistance from Indian top-notch Industrialist and businessmen, Indian government is still hanging around on reservations. This shows the existence of archaic caste-politics in Indian politics. Though these reservation are fruitful only for small section of the society and since independent Indian government has failed to uplift the life standard of many SC/ST and OBCs as the reservation policy is not much sound.
On speaking to a cobbler working on roadside, one can fathom efficiency of reservations in educational institutes. Government first priority should be to fill stomach of poor who are mostly from the lower caste listed by government of India. When one cannot pray hungry stomach, how can you expect that person to go school and study? The effort has to be made at lower and primary level to encourage and upgrade life of SC/STs and OBCs. The suppressed class that government thinks does not belong to any caste but they are economically weak class.
The other big problem is India’s soft stand against terrorist activities. Last three decades have shown that India is not willing to take any military action against any attacks, be it BSF killing at India-Bangladesh border or terrorist attack that claims life of civilian. Today, India and Indians are gambling for economic benefit. India is rising economy and seen as an emerging new alliance of USA, so terrorist have found India a soft target. India is in confused state because if it takes any big step against terrorist camp in Pakistan ,it may have to go war which will bring unstability in its economy. But the government is not realizing that more number of terrorist attack will successfully create fear in the mind of Indian working on projects, detested by terrorist. This may push India on back foot as due to fear Indians will stop working on such projects and thus decreasing role of India in various crucial overseas projects.
Apart from foreign terrorist, Naxalites within the country are eating up India’s internal security like termite. They are running parallel government in the village and as I have heard they set up their own court and deliver quick verdict. India as usual had been procrastinating in solving these issues. If Naxalites today or tommorow join hand with Al Qaeda or Taliban, then in that case what will government do?There will be another Taliban regime in India if it sustains its soft stand.
These are the reason which does not differ at large from the
reason cited by survey body in case of Pakistan and China and India should review its stand and make clear to other nations with whom it faces problem and where it confronts prblem related to its security.
The recent terrorist attack show vulnerability of Indian security and the ongoing domestic problems like reservation for OBC, internal security threats from naxalites.
Despite resistance from Indian top-notch Industrialist and businessmen, Indian government is still hanging around on reservations. This shows the existence of archaic caste-politics in Indian politics. Though these reservation are fruitful only for small section of the society and since independent Indian government has failed to uplift the life standard of many SC/ST and OBCs as the reservation policy is not much sound.
On speaking to a cobbler working on roadside, one can fathom efficiency of reservations in educational institutes. Government first priority should be to fill stomach of poor who are mostly from the lower caste listed by government of India. When one cannot pray hungry stomach, how can you expect that person to go school and study? The effort has to be made at lower and primary level to encourage and upgrade life of SC/STs and OBCs. The suppressed class that government thinks does not belong to any caste but they are economically weak class.
The other big problem is India’s soft stand against terrorist activities. Last three decades have shown that India is not willing to take any military action against any attacks, be it BSF killing at India-Bangladesh border or terrorist attack that claims life of civilian. Today, India and Indians are gambling for economic benefit. India is rising economy and seen as an emerging new alliance of USA, so terrorist have found India a soft target. India is in confused state because if it takes any big step against terrorist camp in Pakistan ,it may have to go war which will bring unstability in its economy. But the government is not realizing that more number of terrorist attack will successfully create fear in the mind of Indian working on projects, detested by terrorist. This may push India on back foot as due to fear Indians will stop working on such projects and thus decreasing role of India in various crucial overseas projects.
Apart from foreign terrorist, Naxalites within the country are eating up India’s internal security like termite. They are running parallel government in the village and as I have heard they set up their own court and deliver quick verdict. India as usual had been procrastinating in solving these issues. If Naxalites today or tommorow join hand with Al Qaeda or Taliban, then in that case what will government do?There will be another Taliban regime in India if it sustains its soft stand.
These are the reason which does not differ at large from the
reason cited by survey body in case of Pakistan and China and India should review its stand and make clear to other nations with whom it faces problem and where it confronts prblem related to its security.
Friday, January 27, 2006
India should favour Iran at IAEA meet
India should favour Iran at IAEA meet on february 2- my view
U.S. ambassador to India David Mulford has come up with shock to Indo-US nuclear deal.
Though United States official spokesperson Sean McCormack said that it was U.S. ambassador to India, David Mulford’s personal view but it is a matter of concern, which India should note. Most probably there are fair chances that US may cancel the nuke deal with India signed on July 18, 2005.
US Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns after day-long talks with Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran in October on a range of issues including Indo-US nuclear deal, reassured that , "we are not adding any conditions. We Americans will meet the obligations we have undertaken and hoped India will abide by its obligations".
If these were the words from a US state official, then why is there confusion again. This again raises doubt on Indo-US relation.
This is not the first time US is trying to pull itself back, previous history also shows some bad experience of India with US.
India voted against Iran in IAEA on september24, 2005 at Vienna in order to develop and maintain better relation with U.S. and more for the nuclear deal. But a relation/deal on blackmail is never a fair deal.
Now there is but if we look at history, we find U.S.has remained loyal to none of the stable economies, except those who are under its hegemony.
If we give look at economic relations that US encouraged in the late 80’s also had been not complied
In the late 80’s U.S. had been advocating for globalization to developing countries in a bid to exploit the low –cost advantages inherent to such countries. At that time, the advocates of globalization did not realize how it could boomerang them and instead be advantageous for developing countries.
The developed countries had problems in the field of manufacturing, where there companies were losing out against low-cots producers from the east.
Developed countries believed that their core strength was in the services sector and therefore developed next strategy to pressure developing countries to open their services sector market by using the WTO platform .the GENERAL AGREEMENT OF TRADE IN SERVICES (GATS)
But soon their belief was awashed as their own people were not competent and are high-cost vis-à-vis their counterparts in the developing countries.
When competitiveness is the sole concern, patriotism and nationalism get secondary priority.
Why will a company hire those who are expensive and why will a company not prefer means by which it can reduce its expenses?
Some data –
Annual cost of full-time employee in U.S. - $42,927
Annual cost of full-time employee in INDIA -$ 6,179
Total expenses of onshore (U.S.) outfit- $ 58,598
Total expenses of outsourcing to INDIA -$11,854
According to Forrester research-
In the year 2000- 103,000
Expected job loss by the year2015- 3.3 million (half of it will move to India)
These data show that India is on its way to grab big bite in U.S. market, if the trend continues and there is no instability in Indian economy.
‘War against terrorism’ is just a façade which U.S. is using to deploy its forces against its target nation. It is well known fact that AL QAEDA was born under guardianship of U.S. India too had bitter experiences with U.S. in some important incidents.
Like after MUMBAI BOMB BLAST, MARCH 1993, Indian agencies recovered hand grenades of Austrian origin and a chemical timer of US origin from the blast sites. Indian agencies sought assistance of experts from Austrian and US agencies for examining them.
Austrian examined the grenades at the blats site itself & Austrian government gave India a signed official report that these grenades had been manufactured in a Pakistani ordinance factory with the technology and machine tools sold by an Austrian company to Pakistani defense ministry.
Adding that India was free to use this report to build its evidence against Pakistan’s INTER SERVICES INTELLIGENCE in the Mumbai blast. Whereas
US experts insisted that the chemical timer could be examined only in particular specialized forensic laboratory in the US, they repeatedly insisted that Indian forensic laboratory lacked the necessary technology and equipment. Indian intelligence officials became suspicious because the US claims were vehement and were, therefore, therefore reluctant to cede possession of the timer. The senior functionaries of the US government gave their personnel word of honor to their counterparts in Indian government that the timer would be returned intact to India after examination whereupon India permitted them to take it.
After several weeks, they send India an unsigned report admitting that the timer was indeed of US origin and was part of consignment given by US to Pakistan’s ISI for passing onto the mujahideen during the anti-soviet campaign in Afghanistan in the early 1980’s but the US specified that India should not use this unsigned report for any purpose.
Even the timer, which the US officials had promised to return, was destroyed in their laboratory
Indian intelligence officials were of the view that this timer was made around 1990-92 and would have exposed to India the close involvement of US agencies with the ISI. Further
US declared Pakistan Major non-nato nation ally (MNNA) on march17, 2004 means that ‘in case of aggression against Pakistan, the government of united states will take such appropriate action, including the use of armed forces as may be mutually agreed upon ’.
All the threats that US projects, from Iran, are very clearly observed in the case of Pakistan but despite of the intimidation US gave $1bn arms bonanza to Pakistan that included –
1. 8 more P-3C Orion maritime surveillance aircraft
2. 6 phalanx rapid fire gun systems
3. over 2000 TOW-2A missiles
Other than these Pakistan also received F-16 aircraft.
These weapons were given on argument that the weapons are being given to fight against terrorist group like AL QAEDA and Taliban. But nobody uses F-16 fighters and other weapon meant for big wars to fight terrorist.
The Orions, for instance, have the harpoon anti-ship missiles for use over the Arabian Sea. Is Osama hiding there?
View on Indian neighbours
Apart from this we know that India too has security threats from neighbouring countries. Pakistan had always been the root of all security problems.
In the recent years anti-Indian activities had been observed in the Nepalese soil. ISI often uses Nepal route to carry anti-Indian activities. Mirza Dilshad Beg was a very clear example of ISI support.
Bangladeshi forces has many time performed anti-Indian activities .one of their brutal action was against Indian troops at Pyrdwah in Assam .now BANGLADESH ISLAMIC MANCH(BIM) , a group of 9 terrorist organization , has announced formation of Brihat Bangladesh which in their agenda includes Assam and some part of Arkansas province of Myanmar.
In case of war between India and Pakistan, US is going to act according to its promise of MNNA that it will support Pakistan with its troops and weapons. Therefore, if we see from wider perspective it will not be Pakistan at war with India but it will be US fighting with India.
Geographically Iran is the closest which can help India in this type if crisis.As there is decade old relationship of US with Pakistan and if we give some sense the Pakistani functionary’s key lies in the hand of US. There is very rare chance that US will favour India and leave Pakistan.
Iran shares the same view on Pakistan as India and has anti-US perspective. Besides having oil benefit from Iran, there are security reasons where Iran can be of help for India. If we look at cultural perspective, India has worlds largest Shia Muslim population after Iran and because of good relations with Iran, India had no threat from Khomeini movement because of this realtion.
As it is better to have half bread than no bread so Iran should remain preference over US for India.
Reference:
1. Indian Express
2. the times of India
3. www.uniindi.com
4. India and its Neighbour- by CNF,New-Delhi
5. Press Trust of India
U.S. ambassador to India David Mulford has come up with shock to Indo-US nuclear deal.
Though United States official spokesperson Sean McCormack said that it was U.S. ambassador to India, David Mulford’s personal view but it is a matter of concern, which India should note. Most probably there are fair chances that US may cancel the nuke deal with India signed on July 18, 2005.
US Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns after day-long talks with Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran in October on a range of issues including Indo-US nuclear deal, reassured that , "we are not adding any conditions. We Americans will meet the obligations we have undertaken and hoped India will abide by its obligations".
If these were the words from a US state official, then why is there confusion again. This again raises doubt on Indo-US relation.
This is not the first time US is trying to pull itself back, previous history also shows some bad experience of India with US.
India voted against Iran in IAEA on september24, 2005 at Vienna in order to develop and maintain better relation with U.S. and more for the nuclear deal. But a relation/deal on blackmail is never a fair deal.
Now there is but if we look at history, we find U.S.has remained loyal to none of the stable economies, except those who are under its hegemony.
If we give look at economic relations that US encouraged in the late 80’s also had been not complied
In the late 80’s U.S. had been advocating for globalization to developing countries in a bid to exploit the low –cost advantages inherent to such countries. At that time, the advocates of globalization did not realize how it could boomerang them and instead be advantageous for developing countries.
The developed countries had problems in the field of manufacturing, where there companies were losing out against low-cots producers from the east.
Developed countries believed that their core strength was in the services sector and therefore developed next strategy to pressure developing countries to open their services sector market by using the WTO platform .the GENERAL AGREEMENT OF TRADE IN SERVICES (GATS)
But soon their belief was awashed as their own people were not competent and are high-cost vis-à-vis their counterparts in the developing countries.
When competitiveness is the sole concern, patriotism and nationalism get secondary priority.
Why will a company hire those who are expensive and why will a company not prefer means by which it can reduce its expenses?
Some data –
Annual cost of full-time employee in U.S. - $42,927
Annual cost of full-time employee in INDIA -$ 6,179
Total expenses of onshore (U.S.) outfit- $ 58,598
Total expenses of outsourcing to INDIA -$11,854
According to Forrester research-
In the year 2000- 103,000
Expected job loss by the year2015- 3.3 million (half of it will move to India)
These data show that India is on its way to grab big bite in U.S. market, if the trend continues and there is no instability in Indian economy.
‘War against terrorism’ is just a façade which U.S. is using to deploy its forces against its target nation. It is well known fact that AL QAEDA was born under guardianship of U.S. India too had bitter experiences with U.S. in some important incidents.
Like after MUMBAI BOMB BLAST, MARCH 1993, Indian agencies recovered hand grenades of Austrian origin and a chemical timer of US origin from the blast sites. Indian agencies sought assistance of experts from Austrian and US agencies for examining them.
Austrian examined the grenades at the blats site itself & Austrian government gave India a signed official report that these grenades had been manufactured in a Pakistani ordinance factory with the technology and machine tools sold by an Austrian company to Pakistani defense ministry.
Adding that India was free to use this report to build its evidence against Pakistan’s INTER SERVICES INTELLIGENCE in the Mumbai blast. Whereas
US experts insisted that the chemical timer could be examined only in particular specialized forensic laboratory in the US, they repeatedly insisted that Indian forensic laboratory lacked the necessary technology and equipment. Indian intelligence officials became suspicious because the US claims were vehement and were, therefore, therefore reluctant to cede possession of the timer. The senior functionaries of the US government gave their personnel word of honor to their counterparts in Indian government that the timer would be returned intact to India after examination whereupon India permitted them to take it.
After several weeks, they send India an unsigned report admitting that the timer was indeed of US origin and was part of consignment given by US to Pakistan’s ISI for passing onto the mujahideen during the anti-soviet campaign in Afghanistan in the early 1980’s but the US specified that India should not use this unsigned report for any purpose.
Even the timer, which the US officials had promised to return, was destroyed in their laboratory
Indian intelligence officials were of the view that this timer was made around 1990-92 and would have exposed to India the close involvement of US agencies with the ISI. Further
US declared Pakistan Major non-nato nation ally (MNNA) on march17, 2004 means that ‘in case of aggression against Pakistan, the government of united states will take such appropriate action, including the use of armed forces as may be mutually agreed upon ’.
All the threats that US projects, from Iran, are very clearly observed in the case of Pakistan but despite of the intimidation US gave $1bn arms bonanza to Pakistan that included –
1. 8 more P-3C Orion maritime surveillance aircraft
2. 6 phalanx rapid fire gun systems
3. over 2000 TOW-2A missiles
Other than these Pakistan also received F-16 aircraft.
These weapons were given on argument that the weapons are being given to fight against terrorist group like AL QAEDA and Taliban. But nobody uses F-16 fighters and other weapon meant for big wars to fight terrorist.
The Orions, for instance, have the harpoon anti-ship missiles for use over the Arabian Sea. Is Osama hiding there?
View on Indian neighbours
Apart from this we know that India too has security threats from neighbouring countries. Pakistan had always been the root of all security problems.
In the recent years anti-Indian activities had been observed in the Nepalese soil. ISI often uses Nepal route to carry anti-Indian activities. Mirza Dilshad Beg was a very clear example of ISI support.
Bangladeshi forces has many time performed anti-Indian activities .one of their brutal action was against Indian troops at Pyrdwah in Assam .now BANGLADESH ISLAMIC MANCH(BIM) , a group of 9 terrorist organization , has announced formation of Brihat Bangladesh which in their agenda includes Assam and some part of Arkansas province of Myanmar.
In case of war between India and Pakistan, US is going to act according to its promise of MNNA that it will support Pakistan with its troops and weapons. Therefore, if we see from wider perspective it will not be Pakistan at war with India but it will be US fighting with India.
Geographically Iran is the closest which can help India in this type if crisis.As there is decade old relationship of US with Pakistan and if we give some sense the Pakistani functionary’s key lies in the hand of US. There is very rare chance that US will favour India and leave Pakistan.
Iran shares the same view on Pakistan as India and has anti-US perspective. Besides having oil benefit from Iran, there are security reasons where Iran can be of help for India. If we look at cultural perspective, India has worlds largest Shia Muslim population after Iran and because of good relations with Iran, India had no threat from Khomeini movement because of this realtion.
As it is better to have half bread than no bread so Iran should remain preference over US for India.
Reference:
1. Indian Express
2. the times of India
3. www.uniindi.com
4. India and its Neighbour- by CNF,New-Delhi
5. Press Trust of India
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